
Some of you kids may be old enough to remember Prodigy, which was one of the first break-out "interactive services" to attract the attention of mainstream America. Prodigy was ugly and dumbed down and annoying. Its environment was so closed and proprietary, it made AOL, briefly, look smart and open. Which is why, ultimately, it became AOL's lunch. Still, it's an important footnote to history: Prodigy introduced regular folksâover a million of them, which children, was a lot in those daysâ to the glories of the online world.
I wonder if Myspace isn't doing the same thing for social networks, and whether it's headed for a similar fate at the hands of Facebook.
OK, clearly, Facebook is having some kind of a moment. (See especially my wife's take in the paper today.) But beyond the 15 minutes of fame, we are witnessing the birth of the latest uber-network. Already, Facebook's population rivals that of Shanghai, and it feels like it's ready to grow even bigger.
I never saw the appeal of Myspace. (I understand why others do it, but it never hooked me.) Plus, it's ugly and chaotic, and closed. I find Facebook, by comparison, hugely amusing. Its white space and neat layout is positively Apple-like. It's interface simple but powerful. The way it handles privacy is smart. There's plenty do thereâand with developers working to add new stuff, you can easily see how a network effect will create exponential growth. Where LinkedIn is an excellent tool for recruiting people, or finding a job or a contact within a company, there's no reason to hang out there. Facebook, though, is sticky.
The implications of all this are fairly fascinating. Prodigy declined when its users got pissed off over restrictive rules. Is Myspace hollowing out? And if Facebook becomes the uber-social network, how long can it hold on?
(For an opposing opinion, see Owen's take.)
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